Considering the amount of discussion going on around the latest poll revealing that Marine Le Pen would lead the first round of the 2012 presidential elections, I have decided it was time to write an article on why I believe Marine Le pen will not be France’s next president, and if she does, hopefully by then I will not be living in France.
The are several reasons why I do not believe the results of this poll are to be taken quite so seriously, the first one being that we are still a full 14 months away from the election, and as anyone knows much can happen on the political scene in that time. Second of all, the poll was putting Marine Le Pen up against Martine Aubry as the Socialist Party’s candidate, when in fact they have not yet chosen one. But these are not the main reasons why I believe Marine Le Pen will not be president, the main reason is the poll itself. As Melissa Bounoua says in the Guardian, the French are in love with polls, implying that their results and meaning are perhaps less important then they are actually given credit for. Continue reading